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Hazardous Weather Outlook


Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wichita KS
853 AM CDT Thu May 16 2024

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-171400-
Russell-Lincoln-Barton-Ellsworth-Saline-Rice-McPherson-Marion-Chase-
Reno-Harvey-Butler-Greenwood-Woodson-Allen-Kingman-Sedgwick-Harper-
Sumner-Cowley-Elk-Wilson-Neosho-Chautauqua-Montgomery-Labette-
853 AM CDT Thu May 16 2024

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Central Kansas,
South Central Kansas and Southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Thunderstorms will be possible across parts of South Central and
Southeast Kansas today. These thunderstorms are not expected to be
severe but an isolated strong storm with dime hail is possible
during the afternoon.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday

Periodic chances for thunderstorms will remain in the forecast for
early Friday, Saturday night and through Tuesday. Severe storms will
be possible for this weekend into Monday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated today or tonight.

&&

For a graphical version of this information, see our webpage at:
https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=ict

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Norman OK
957 AM CDT Thu May 16 2024

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-171500-
Harper-Woods-Alfalfa-Grant-Kay-Ellis-Woodward-Major-Garfield-
Noble-Roger Mills-Dewey-Custer-Blaine-Kingfisher-Logan-Payne-
Beckham-Washita-Caddo-Canadian-Oklahoma-Lincoln-Grady-McClain-
Cleveland-Pottawatomie-Seminole-Hughes-Harmon-Greer-Kiowa-Jackson-
Tillman-Comanche-Stephens-Garvin-Murray-Pontotoc-Coal-Cotton-
Jefferson-Carter-Johnston-Atoka-Love-Marshall-Bryan-Hardeman-
Foard-Wilbarger-Wichita-Knox-Baylor-Archer-Clay-
957 AM CDT Thu May 16 2024

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northern...
western...central...and southern Oklahoma...and western north
Texas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight...

.Thunderstorms...
Thunderstorms will remain possible this afternoon across western
north Texas. The strongest of them may produce winds up to 60 mph
and quarter-sized hail, as well as a risk for localized flooding.
A low chance of non-severe storms will occur across the rest of
the area during the day and overnight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday...

.Thunderstorms...
A chance of strong to severe thunderstorms are possible Friday
afternoon across southeastern Oklahoma. Thunderstorm chances will
be widespread through the day.

Thunderstorm chances will be returning both Sunday and Monday
nights across parts of northern Oklahoma.

Get graphics and more details at weather.gov/norman...and follow
our weather forecast office on Twitter and Facebook.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
835 AM CDT Thu May 16 2024

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-170930-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
835 AM CDT Thu May 16 2024

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Far Southeast Oklahoma into Northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...Mid to Late Afternoon.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Mainly North of Interstate 40.
ONSET...Ongoing.

DISCUSSION...
Showers and thunderstorms are ongoing this morning across eastern
Oklahoma and into far northwest Arkansas, with a medium chance for
additional development through the morning hours. A low chance
for an isolated strong to marginally severe thunderstorm will
exist through midday. Additional thunderstorms are expected to
develop mid to late afternoon and continue into the evening and
overnight, focused across northwest and west central Arkansas. Hail
up to the size of half dollars and locally damaging wind gusts near
60 mph will be the main hazards with the strongest storms this
afternoon and evening. Locally heavy rain and a low chance of flash
flooding will also be concerns.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Local Spotter Activation May Be Needed.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.
FRIDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
SATURDAY...No Hazards.
SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Thunderstorm chances will persist into Friday and Friday night,
with a decreasing trend from west to east as the upper level storm
system shifts east of the area. The stronger storms Friday could
produce hail up to the size of half dollars and wind gusts in the
60 to 70 mph range, especially in areas south and east of
Interstate 44.

Above normal temperatures and dry weather will persist for the
weekend. Both Sunday night and Monday night, the southern end of
expected thunderstorm complexes to the north of the Kansas and
Missouri borders may affect parts of northeast Oklahoma and
northwest Arkansas as well. A cold front Tuesday should increase
the shower and thunderstorm chances areawide, as well as bringing
cooler temperatures to the region. Severe weather may accompany
the Tuesday thunderstorms, although details are uncertain at this
time.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
511 AM CDT Thu May 16 2024

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-171015-
Atchison KS-Miami-Linn KS-Doniphan-Leavenworth-Wyandotte-Johnson KS-
Atchison MO-Nodaway-Worth-Gentry-Harrison-Mercer-Putnam-Schuyler-
Holt-Andrew-De Kalb-Daviess-Grundy-Sullivan-Adair-Buchanan-Clinton-
Caldwell-Livingston-Linn MO-Macon-Platte-Clay-Ray-Carroll-Chariton-
Randolph-Jackson-Lafayette-Saline-Howard-Cass-Johnson MO-Pettis-
Cooper-Bates-Henry-
511 AM CDT Thu May 16 2024

This hazardous weather outlook is for northwest...north central and
west central Missouri...as well as extreme eastern Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

 Patchy fog will impact portions of NE Kansas and NW Missouri.
Otherwise, scattered showers and storms are likely this morning and
afternoon, but severe weather is not anticipated.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday

 No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

 More detailed information can be accessed at...
 https://www.weather.gov/eax/hwo

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
501 AM CDT Thu May 16 2024

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-171015-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
501 AM CDT Thu May 16 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Limited hail risk.
  Limited thunderstorm wind damage risk.
  Elevated lightning risk.
  Limited excessive rainfall risk

DISCUSSION...

Scattered showers and thunderstorms continue across the area
through this morning. Most of the activity will remain sub-severe.
Heavy rainfall may result in localized flooding.

Additional showers and thunderstorms may develop this afternoon
across portions of southern Missouri. There is the potential for
a few isolated strong to severe thunderstorms, capable of
producing damaging wind gusts up to 60 mph and hail up to the size
of quarters.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Additional showers and thunderstorms will move across the region
overnight into Friday. Heavy rainfall may result in localized
flooding.

Thunderstorm chances then return to the area next week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed later today or tonight for
southern Missouri.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/dsspacket

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

$$

Perez

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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